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Strat Yeas or Nays
April 07, 2013

Will 2013 be the season where we see the emergence of new young studs as important keeper league components?

Aaron Hicks vs. Leonys Martin
The Twins and Rangers have possible candidates to that end for center field as both Aaron Hicks and Leonys Martin figure to receive plenty of opportunities this season. Which one will have the better Strat card over his career?

Based on the ZIPS projection, both players figure as above average for usage in a 24-team league. Both players figure as 33 to 35 OB unit column cards. They may have splits that may exceed that number but 33 to 35 is a good estimate based on their minor league plate profiles.

tm	player	ab	cavg	hit1	1b	2b	3b	hr	bb	k	ob	tb	obtb
TEA	Martin, L	352	0.278	28.4	18.3	7.4	1.1	1.6	6	19	34	43	1461
MNA	Hicks, A	530	0.201	18.8	9.3	3.7	1.9	3.9	15	34	33	38	1269

Hicks has a better walk rate at this point. That gives him a slight edge in terms of OB unit potential. Martin strikes out less than Hicks. That makes him a safer choice to hit for a better average. Martin should have more singles. Hicks has more walks. The overall effect for total OB is about the same.

There is not a clear case for one over the other at this point other than to wait and see if one of them can "stick" in the majors and provide results conducive to good Strat cards.

Jose Iglesias vs. Jean Segura
The Red Sox and Brewers may have found their new shortstop for the next decade. This one isn't even actually that close. Iglesias may end up as the superior hitter but he doesn't have the bat of Segura.

tm	player	ab	cavg	hit1	1b	2b	3b	hr	bb	k	ob	tb	obtb
BOA	Iglesias, J	506	0.204	21.9	20.6	1.3	0.0	0.0	1	7	23	23	529
MLN	Segura, J	492	0.296	31.0	24.4	3.6	2.3	0.7	3	12	34	41	1420

Segura will never hit for power or big TB units. He does have better walk skills and gap ability compared to Iglesias. What Segura needs for a solid keeper league status will come in the form of a good batting average that runs 20 to 30 points higher than league average as well as the SS-2. He could end up as a top ten player in a set should that happen.

Still, the lack of strong walk ability will keep the horizons low for OB units on the cards. They don't figure as valuable players in smaller leagues.

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